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Pattern Prediction Worksheet

Lesson 13: AI and Mathematics -- Pattern Recognition and Predictive Modeling
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Section 1: Sequence Detectives

How AI uses this: Before an AI can make a prediction, it must first find the pattern in the data. That is exactly what you will do below. For each sequence, identify the rule, then predict the next three terms.

Problem 1: Arithmetic Sequence

A school's recycling program collected the following number of pounds of recyclables each week:

12,   19,   26,   33,   40,    ,    ,    

a) What is the rule? The sequence by each time.

b) Predict the next three terms: , ,

c) Using this pattern, how many pounds would the school collect in Week 12? Show your work.

Show your work here:

Problem 2: Geometric Sequence

A viral video's views doubled every day after it was posted:

150,   300,   600,   1,200,   2,400,    ,    ,    

a) What is the rule? Each term is by .

b) Predict the next three terms: , ,

c) On what day will the video first surpass 100,000 views? Show your work.

Show your work here:

Problem 3: Real-World Pattern

A city's average monthly temperature readings (in °F) from January through June:

28,   32,   42,   56,   68,   79

a) Is this an arithmetic sequence (constant difference), geometric sequence (constant ratio), or neither? Explain your reasoning.

Calculate the differences between consecutive terms:

b) Predict the temperature for July: °F

c) Predict the temperature for August: °F

d) Would this pattern continue forever? Why or why not?

Problem 4: AI Training Data Pattern

An AI model is being trained to recognize images. The table shows how its accuracy improves as it processes more training images:

Training Images 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
Accuracy (%) 52 61 68 74 79 83 ?

a) Calculate the change in accuracy between each pair of consecutive values:

100→200:   200→300:   300→400:   400→500:   500→600:

b) Do you notice anything about how the differences change? Describe the trend.

c) Predict the accuracy at 700 training images: %

d) Do you think the accuracy will ever reach 100%? Explain your reasoning.

Section 2: Central Tendency Challenge

How AI uses this: AI systems calculate the mean, median, and mode of datasets to understand what is "normal" or "typical." A spam filter uses the average number of suspicious words in known spam emails to decide if a new email is spam.
Formula Reminders:
Mean = Sum of all values ÷ Number of values
Median = Middle value when data is ordered from least to greatest
Mode = Value that appears most often

Problem 5: School Cafeteria Data

The school cafeteria tracked how many pizza slices were sold each day for two weeks (10 school days):

Day Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Slices Sold 132 98 145 110 178 140 105 145 115 182

a) Calculate the mean (average) number of slices sold per day:

Sum = __________ ÷ 10 = __________

b) Find the median. First, order the values from least to greatest:

Ordered values: __________ Median = __________

c) Find the mode:

d) The cafeteria manager wants to predict how many pizza slices to prepare for next Monday. Which measure of center would you recommend and why?

e) Notice the pattern: Fridays have the highest sales (178 and 182). Why might this be? How could an AI use this day-of-week pattern?

Problem 6: Step Count Data

A fitness tracker recorded a student's daily step counts for 9 days:

4,200   6,800   5,500   3,100   7,200   5,500   8,400   5,500   15,300

a) Calculate the mean: steps

Show your work:

b) Calculate the median: steps

Ordered values and median:

c) Find the mode: steps

d) The value 15,300 is much larger than the others (perhaps a hiking day). This is called an outlier. How does this outlier affect the mean compared to the median?

e) If an AI fitness app wanted to predict this student's "typical" daily step count, should it use the mean or the median? Explain.

Section 3: Scatter Plot and Prediction

How AI uses this: When AI systems like weather forecasters or sports analysts make predictions, they often start by plotting data on a scatter plot, identifying the trend, and extending that trend into the future. You will do the same thing here.

Problem 7: Ice Cream Sales vs. Temperature

A school tracked the outdoor temperature and the number of ice cream bars sold from the cafeteria each day:

Temperature (°F) 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90
Ice Cream Bars Sold 8 14 18 25 34 40 52 58

a) Plot these 8 data points on the coordinate grid below. Label the x-axis "Temperature (°F)" and the y-axis "Ice Cream Bars Sold."

Temperature (°F) Ice Cream Bars Sold

b) Draw a trend line (line of best fit) through the data. Try to have roughly the same number of points above and below the line.

c) Using your trend line, predict how many ice cream bars will sell when the temperature is:

d) The actual values were: 95 °F = 65 bars, 50 °F = 4 bars, 100 °F = 70 bars. Calculate your percent error for each prediction:

Percent Error Formula: Percent Error = |Your Prediction - Actual Value| ÷ Actual Value × 100
Temperature Your Prediction Actual Value |Difference| Percent Error
95 °F 65
50 °F 4
100 °F 70

e) An AI model predicted: 95 °F = 64 bars, 50 °F = 3 bars, 100 °F = 72 bars. Whose predictions were closer -- yours or the AI's? Why do you think that is?

Problem 8: Study Hours vs. Test Score

A teacher surveyed 10 students about how many hours they studied for a math test and recorded their scores:

Student A B C D E F G H I J
Hours Studied 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5
Test Score (%) 52 58 65 68 74 79 83 88 90 95

a) Plot the data on graph paper or the grid below. (x-axis = Hours Studied, y-axis = Test Score)

Hours Studied Test Score (%)

b) Draw a trend line through the data.

c) Use your trend line to predict: If a student studies for 6 hours, what test score would you predict? %

d) Estimate the slope of your trend line. Pick two points on the line (not data points) and calculate:

Slope Formula: slope = (y₂ - y₁) ÷ (x₂ - x₁) = rise ÷ run
Point 1: ( ___ , ___ )   Point 2: ( ___ , ___ )   Slope = __________

e) What does the slope mean in this context? Complete the sentence:

"For every additional hour of studying, a student's test score increases by approximately points."

f) Could this trend continue forever? Would studying for 20 hours guarantee a score above 100%? Explain why predictions have limits.

Reflection: Thinking Like an AI

Connecting Math to AI

1. Describe in your own words how AI uses patterns to make predictions. Use at least two math vocabulary words from today's lesson.

2. Which was harder: finding the pattern in the sequence problems (Section 1) or making predictions from the scatter plot (Section 3)? Why?

3. Give one real-world example of an AI system that uses pattern recognition and predictions. Explain what data it analyzes and what predictions it makes.

4. Rate your confidence in making predictions using math (circle one):

1 - Not confident     2 - A little confident     3 - Somewhat confident     4 - Very confident     5 - Expert level

Explain your rating: